Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 1.154517 1.342636 1.544320 1.775797 2.033267 2.310007 2.629080
2025-03-02 0.810426 1.065327 1.363889 1.735279 2.180537 2.692833 3.322200
2025-03-09 0.608192 0.896370 1.262144 1.750055 2.372652 3.129115 4.105258
2025-03-16 0.458645 0.754980 1.160646 1.736998 2.513493 3.501345 4.828557
2025-03-23 0.378901 0.687732 1.138975 1.814589 2.765533 4.019789 5.757957
2025-03-30 0.314512 0.627123 1.112744 1.875375 2.991259 4.509881 6.670726
2025-04-06 0.246348 0.543829 1.036855 1.849915 3.086599 4.822021 7.354970
2025-04-13 0.203641 0.493594 1.002868 1.879229 3.256837 5.240112 8.196011
2025-04-20 0.166581 0.444385 0.961529 1.889099 3.393741 5.612522 8.984129
2025-04-27 0.137002 0.402273 0.924944 1.900119 3.528975 5.984421 9.781818
2025-05-04 0.110735 0.359857 0.880330 1.890620 3.627501 6.302385 10.509559
2025-05-11 0.086486 0.314512 0.821996 1.848879 3.667461 6.529584 11.108136
2025-05-18 0.071036 0.287226 0.797072 1.867720 3.813729 6.934326 11.999176
2025-05-25 0.055072 0.252596 0.750631 1.840957 3.880314 7.217926 12.720154
2025-06-01 0.045110 0.231833 0.730985 1.863223 4.032313 7.642496 13.670517
2025-06-08 0.035345 0.207087 0.697143 1.852477 4.123222 7.970384 14.480547
2025-06-15 0.031262 0.201121 0.708210 1.935353 4.388799 8.594595 15.774305
2025-06-22 0.027009 0.192466 0.710781 1.999837 4.622967 9.174076 17.012969
2025-06-29 0.020596 0.170573 0.673678 1.973337 4.682740 9.460856 17.790324
2025-07-06 0.016936 0.159081 0.662990 2.004266 4.853388 9.941291 18.892582
2025-07-13 0.013465 0.145864 0.644438 2.014691 4.983570 10.355319 19.896589
2025-07-20 0.010666 0.134001 0.627335 2.026296 5.115795 10.776277 20.921918
2025-07-27 0.008092 0.120748 0.602616 2.016322 5.202875 11.119353 21.825689